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Technical Analysis

Reversal

A reversal is a change in the overall price trend direction: an uptrend becomes a downtrend, or vice versa. Unlike retracements which are temporary, reversals signal a fundamental shift in market sentiment and can last months to years.

Understanding the Concept

• Often marked by reversal patterns (head and shoulders, double tops) • Volume typically spikes during true reversals • Difficult to identify in real-time (looks like retracement initially) • Confirmation often requires breaking key support/resistance

Real-World Example

After a two-year uptrend, a stock forms a head-and-shoulders pattern at $200. It breaks the neckline at $170 on huge volume. This isn't a normal pullback; it's a reversal. The stock continues to $100 over the next year. Those who recognized the reversal pattern sold near the top.

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