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Cryptobitcoin Bearish

Bitcoin Bulls Face Reality Check as $900M in Losses Rattle Market and ETF Flows

Strykr AI
··8 min read
Bitcoin Bulls Face Reality Check as $900M in Losses Rattle Market and ETF Flows
32
Score
91
Extreme
High
Risk

Strykr Analysis

Bearish

Strykr Pulse 32/100. Leverage wipeouts, ETF outflows, and Saylor’s paper losses signal a market in distress. Threat Level 4/5.

Bitcoin’s wild ride has always been a spectator sport, but the latest plunge below $75,000 is less a rollercoaster and more a controlled demolition. The market’s favorite digital asset, which only weeks ago was flirting with $124,700, now finds itself testing the psychological $60,000–$63,000 zone, with Michael Saylor’s legendary conviction looking more like a cautionary tale than a masterclass in diamond hands.

The numbers are ugly, and that’s putting it politely. In the past 24 hours, $704 million in leveraged crypto bets have been liquidated, according to DailyHodl. BlackRock’s IBIT ETF, once the poster child for institutional adoption, is now “a victim of its own success,” as Cointribune puts it, recording historic losses after Bitcoin’s drop. Saylor’s Strategy faces a $900 million unrealized loss, and the market is openly wondering if the king of “buy the dip” has finally discovered what a bottom feels like.

It’s not just Saylor’s pain. The entire crypto complex is moving in lockstep, as Tokenpost notes, with altcoins still chained to Bitcoin’s fate despite a decade of “decentralized” hype. Ethereum is clinging to the $2,100 support like a cat on a windowsill, and the RSI is screaming oversold, but that’s cold comfort to anyone who bought the top.

The timeline is brutal. Bitcoin’s descent from $124,700 to $78,000 was already a gut punch, but the latest leg lower—testing $74,600 and now threatening the $60,000s—has traders questioning the entire ETF-driven narrative. Saylor is still buying, according to Coinpaper, but the market is no longer following his lead. Instead, it’s punishing leverage and forcing a reality check on the “number go up” crowd.

This is not the first time Bitcoin has wiped out billions in paper gains, but the context is different. The IBIT ETF’s historic losses are a sign that institutional flows cut both ways. When the tide goes out, even the biggest whales can look stranded. The fact that $704 million in liquidations happened in a single day is a reminder that leverage is a double-edged sword, and right now, it’s slicing through the bulls.

The macro backdrop isn’t helping. Nasdaq futures are falling, metals are in freefall (silver down 27% in a week, if you needed a reminder that commodities can be even crueler than crypto), and the Fed is about to get a new chair in Kevin Warsh. The risk-off mood is palpable, and Bitcoin is no longer immune.

The real story here is not just the price action, but the shifting psychology. The ETF narrative was supposed to bring stability and legitimacy, but instead it’s amplified volatility and made the market more sensitive to flows. When IBIT bleeds, everyone feels it. The Saylor trade, once a meme, is now a cautionary tale.

Strykr Watch

Technically, Bitcoin is hanging by a thread. The $75,000 level was supposed to be support, but it’s now resistance. The next major zone is $60,000–$63,000, which is where the last meaningful accumulation happened. If that breaks, it’s a long way down to $50,000. The RSI is oversold, but that’s been true for days. The 200-day moving average is at $68,500, and if Bitcoin can’t reclaim that, the trend is officially broken.

Ethereum is in a similar spot, with $2,100 as the last line of defense. If that goes, $1,800 is next. Altcoins are irrelevant until Bitcoin stabilizes. The market is in full risk-off mode, and technicals are secondary to flows.

The risk is that forced liquidations accelerate if $60,000 breaks. The opportunity is that panic bottoms are usually where the best trades are made, but only if you have the stomach for it.

The risks are obvious. If Saylor is forced to sell, the market could cascade lower. If ETF outflows accelerate, there’s no floor. If the Fed surprises hawkish, risk assets everywhere will get smoked. The opportunity is that everyone is scared, and that’s usually when bottoms form. If Bitcoin can reclaim $75,000 and hold above the 200-day, the narrative can flip fast.

For traders, the playbook is simple. Wait for a confirmed reclaim of $75,000 before getting aggressive. If $60,000 breaks, look for capitulation and be ready to buy blood. Stops are mandatory. Targets are $85,000 on a bounce, $50,000 if the floor falls out.

Strykr Take

This is not the end of Bitcoin, but it is the end of the easy ETF-driven bull market. The pain is real, but so is the opportunity. The market is cleansing leverage, and when the dust settles, the survivors will have the best entries. Don’t try to catch the knife, but don’t be afraid to buy when everyone else is puking.

Date Published: 2026-02-02 08:15 UTC

Sources (5)

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Saylor Signals Buys, BTC Drops

Bitcoin falls despite Saylor signaling more accumulation, as analysts warn of a deeper pullback toward the $60K–$63K support zone.

coinpaper.com·Feb 2

Bitcoin Under Pressure: BlackRock's IBIT a Victim of Its Own Success

The IBIT ETF records historic losses after Bitcoin's drop. We provide all the details in this article.

cointribune.com·Feb 2

$704,000,000 in Bitcoin and Crypto Liquidated As BTC Price Plunges To $74,600

Traders using leverage to bet on a Bitcoin and crypto price rebound are getting wrecked. In the last 24 hours, $704 million in leveraged crypto bets h

dailyhodl.com·Feb 2

Bitcoin: From $124,700 to $78,000 – BTC's rise, fall, and reality check

As long-term believers remain, who's right this time - believers or metrics?

ambcrypto.com·Feb 2

Bitcoin Price Prediction: $60K Support Tested as Saylor Buys

Bitcoin nears $60K as Saylor continues buying, while Elliott Wave analysis signals potential downside and key support is tested.

coinpaper.com·Feb 2
#bitcoin#etf#liquidations#saylor#crypto-crash#volatility#institutional
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