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Cryptobitcoin Bearish

Bitcoin Liquidation Cascade Ripples Across Crypto as Altcoins Face Margin Call Mayhem

Strykr AI
··8 min read
Bitcoin Liquidation Cascade Ripples Across Crypto as Altcoins Face Margin Call Mayhem
38
Score
85
Extreme
High
Risk

Strykr Analysis

Bearish

Strykr Pulse 38/100. Liquidations are cascading, miners are stressed, and ETF flows are negative. Threat Level 4/5.

If you thought crypto was immune to the gravitational pull of a risk-off market, the past 48 hours have been a rude awakening. Bitcoin’s price is teetering just above its weekend low at $74,600, and the entire altcoin complex is feeling the aftershocks of a leverage flush that would make even 2021’s degens blush. The real story isn’t just Bitcoin’s stumble. It’s the systemic stress rippling through miners, ETF flows, and the leveraged longs who thought “number go up” was a law of nature.

According to Coindesk, “Major declines in artificial-intelligence-linked stocks, software names and private equity are leading U.S. indices lower.” That’s not just a tech story, it’s a liquidity story, and crypto is caught in the crossfire. NewsBTC reports that over $1.5 billion in $BTC leveraged long positions were liquidated from January 29-31. This isn’t your garden-variety dip. It’s a margin call bonanza, and the forced sellers are everywhere.

The supply side isn’t helping. CryptoSlate notes that Bitcoin is “trading outside a $93,000, $110,000 cost-basis band,” with ETF flows adding pressure and miners straining to stay solvent. Translation: the structural bid from ETFs is being overwhelmed by forced liquidations and miner capitulation. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan calls it a “crypto winter,” but the thaw isn’t coming until the leverage is wrung out of the system.

Ethereum isn’t immune, either. Rollup activity is rising, but the value secured on L2s is declining, according to AMBCrypto. Altcoins are under pressure, with blue chips like Solana, XRP, and TRX seeing institutional interest on the Moscow Exchange but precious little price support. The narrative has shifted from “when moon” to “when margin call.”

The context here is critical. Crypto has been feeding off the AI and tech mania in equities, but when the music stops on Wall Street, the pain in digital assets is amplified. The correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 is back above 0.6, and that means every risk-off move in stocks is a double whammy for crypto. The ETF flows that were supposed to provide a floor are now a source of volatility, as redemptions trigger forced selling and liquidity dries up.

Historically, liquidation cascades like this have marked the end of leverage cycles, not the beginning. The last time we saw this kind of wipeout was the Luna/UST collapse, and the market took months to recover. The difference now is that institutional flows are a two-edged sword: they provide depth, but they also magnify the pain when the herd heads for the exits.

The technical picture is ugly. Bitcoin is clinging to $74,600, with no meaningful support until the $72,000, $73,000 zone. The cost-basis bands are a distant memory, and the RSI is in oversold territory. Altcoins are faring worse, with double-digit drawdowns and no sign of a bid. The miners are capitulating, and the ETF flows are negative for the first time since launch.

The risks are obvious. If Bitcoin loses $74,600, the next stop is a full-blown liquidation cascade to $70,000 or lower. Miner stress could trigger another wave of forced selling, and ETF outflows could accelerate. The altcoin complex is even more vulnerable, with thin liquidity and no real buyers.

But here’s the opportunity. When everyone is forced to sell, the survivors get to buy at fire-sale prices. The leverage is being flushed, and that sets the stage for a real bottom. The key is to wait for the cascade to exhaust itself. Don’t try to catch the falling knife, but don’t be afraid to step in when the dust settles.

Strykr Watch

Bitcoin’s critical support is $74,600. A break below opens the door to $72,000, $73,000, with the ultimate line in the sand at $70,000. Resistance is stacked at $78,000 and $80,000. The RSI is deeply oversold, but that’s not a buy signal in a liquidation environment. Watch ETF flows, if they turn positive, that’s the first sign the worst is over.

Altcoins are a minefield. Solana, XRP, and TRX futures on the Moscow Exchange are a curiosity, not a catalyst. The real action is in the majors, and until Bitcoin stabilizes, altcoins are just beta to the downside.

Miners are the marginal sellers. If hash rate drops and miner wallets start sending coins to exchanges, brace for another leg lower. The ETF flows are the wild card, if redemptions accelerate, the cascade could feed on itself.

The risk is that the leverage isn’t fully flushed yet. If Bitcoin loses $74,600, the next wave of liquidations could be brutal. The opportunity is to buy the survivors when the forced selling is done. Set alerts, keep powder dry, and wait for the capitulation wick.

Strykr Take

This is what a real liquidation cascade looks like. The leverage is being wrung out, and the pain isn’t over yet. But when the dust settles, the survivors will have a clean slate and the next bull run will be built on stronger hands. Don’t try to be a hero, but don’t sleep on the opportunity either. Strykr Pulse 38/100. Threat Level 4/5.

Sources (5)

Bitcoin nears weekend low of $74,600 as stock selloff adds to crypto's woes

Major declines in artificial-intelligence-linked stocks, software names and private equity are leading U.S. indices lower.

coindesk.com·Feb 3

U.Today Crypto Digest: Ripple's RLUSD Eyes $1.5 Billion Milestone, BlackRock Dumps Staggering $671 Million in Bitcoin and Ethereum, XRP Hits 1,407% Liquidation Imbalance

Ripple's stablecoin is approaching the $1.5 billion milestone.

u.today·Feb 3

Why Is Moscow Exchange Adding Solana, XRP, and TRX Futures Now?

Recently the prices across the altcoin market remain under pressure. Yet a major institutional catalyst has emerged for the top blue chips of the indu

coinpedia.org·Feb 3

Ethereum rethinks L2 role as activity rises but value secured declines

Vitalik Buterin of Ethereum is rethinking the role of layer-2 networks as rollup activity continues to rise, reflecting a shift in how scaling is bein

ambcrypto.com·Feb 3

Bitcoin, Ethereum Are In 'Crypto Winter', But Spring Is Not Far Off, Bitwise's Matt Hougan Says

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) are in “crypto winter”, according to Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan, who says the end m

benzinga.com·Feb 3
#bitcoin#liquidation-cascade#crypto-winter#altcoins#etf-flows#miners#risk-off
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