
Strykr Analysis
NeutralStrykr Pulse 58/100. Bitcoin is stuck in a range, with high correlation to tech and no clear catalyst. Threat Level 3/5.
If you’re still calling Bitcoin “digital gold,” you might want to check your calendar. The old narrative is dead, and the new one is staring us in the face. Bitcoin is trading like a high-beta tech stock, not a safe haven, and the latest price action is the final nail in the coffin for the gold 2.0 crowd.
The data doesn’t lie. Bitcoin’s Mayer Multiple just hit 0.65, a level last seen in the 2022 bear market, according to Cointelegraph (2026-02-10). The price is clinging to the $68,703 mark, carving out a tight range between $68,427 and $71,032 (news.bitcoin.com, 2026-02-10). But the real story is in the correlations. Grayscale, never shy about calling out the obvious, says Bitcoin’s latest sell-off “looks more like a retreat from growth” than a flight to safety (coindesk.com, 2026-02-10).
If you’re trading Bitcoin like a macro hedge, you’re on the wrong side of the trade. The algos have spoken, and they’re treating Bitcoin as just another risk asset. When growth stocks sell off, Bitcoin follows. When tech rallies, Bitcoin gets a bid. The days of negative correlation to equities are gone, replaced by a dance that’s as predictable as it is frustrating for anyone still clinging to the old playbook.
The macro context only sharpens the point. The S&P 500 is grinding higher in a “mostly orderly, upward trend” (Seeking Alpha, 2026-02-10), while commodities are dead in the water (DBC at $24.255, up 0% for four straight prints). Bitcoin, meanwhile, is stuck in a holding pattern, unable to break out despite a steady drumbeat of bullish narratives. The Mayer Multiple at 0.65 is a red flag, historically, that’s a level where bottoms form, but only after a period of pain.
The sentiment on Crypto Twitter is as confused as ever. Elon Musk is back with another “serious dollar warning” (Forbes, 2026-02-10), sparking wild speculation but little actual movement. The real action is in the on-chain data: momentum is missing, pressure is mounting, and traders are bracing for impact.
The bigger picture? Bitcoin is in the midst of an identity crisis. The “digital gold” meme is dead, but the tech trade narrative is only half-baked. Until Bitcoin finds a new role in the macro ecosystem, expect more range-bound chop and frustrating false starts.
Historical comparisons are instructive. In 2022, Bitcoin bottomed with the Mayer Multiple at similar levels, but only after a capitulation event that flushed out weak hands. The difference now is that institutional flows are stickier, and the ETF bid is real. But the correlation to growth is undeniable, and any tech sell-off will drag Bitcoin down with it.
Cross-asset flows confirm the story. Tech and crypto are moving in lockstep, while commodities and defensive assets are flatlining. The rotation out of momentum and into value is leaving Bitcoin in no-man’s-land, caught between narratives and waiting for a catalyst.
Strykr Watch
Key levels are clear. Bitcoin needs to hold $68,000 to avoid a retest of the $65,000 zone. Resistance sits at $71,000, with a breakout above that level opening the door to $75,000. Moving averages are flattening, RSI is neutral, and volume is drying up. The setup screams “wait for confirmation.”
What could go wrong? Plenty. If growth stocks roll over, Bitcoin will follow. A break below $68,000 invalidates the setup and opens the door to a deeper correction. Regulatory headlines or ETF outflows could add fuel to the fire.
But the opportunity is there. If Bitcoin can reclaim $71,000 on strong volume, the next leg higher is in play. Look for long entries on a confirmed breakout, with stops below $68,000. Pair trades against tech stocks could hedge the correlation risk.
Strykr Take
Bitcoin isn’t digital gold. It’s a tech trade, and the market is finally treating it that way. Trade the range, respect the levels, and don’t get caught in the narrative crossfire. The next move will be driven by growth, not gold.
Strykr Pulse 58/100. Correlations are high, momentum is missing, but the setup favors nimble traders. Threat Level 3/5.
Sources (5)
Bitcoin's Mayer Multiple hits 2022 levels: Where is the BTC price bottom?
The Bitcoin Mayer Multiple reached 0.65, echoing the deep bear market conditions of 2022 and sparking debate on whether BTC's real bottom lies at $50,
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