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Cryptocrypto-backed-loans Bearish

Crypto-Backed Loans Face Reckoning as Bitcoin Liquidations Hit Record and Miners Capitulate

Strykr AI
··8 min read
Crypto-Backed Loans Face Reckoning as Bitcoin Liquidations Hit Record and Miners Capitulate
33
Score
85
Extreme
High
Risk

Strykr Analysis

Bearish

Strykr Pulse 33/100. Record liquidations and miner shutdowns signal systemic stress. Threat Level 5/5.

If you thought crypto’s wildest days were behind us, this week’s carnage in the crypto-backed lending market is a brutal reminder that leverage is a merciless master. On February 6, 2026, Decrypt reported that Coinbase’s crypto-backed loans saw record liquidations as Bitcoin and Ethereum plunged. The fallout has been swift and severe: miners are shutting down rigs as profitability collapses, and the entire lending ecosystem is being stress-tested in real time. This is not your garden-variety volatility. This is the kind of forced selling that leaves a mark on the entire asset class.

The numbers are staggering. Bitcoin nearly broke $60,000 a day ago, rebounding only slightly as the dust settled. Ethereum followed suit, dragging the rest of the market with it. Coinbase customers, who had leveraged up during the last bull run, found themselves on the wrong end of margin calls as prices cratered. The result? Record liquidations, with millions in collateral vaporized in hours. According to Decrypt, this is the largest wave of forced selling since the May 2022 meltdown. The ripple effects are everywhere, miners are shutting down operations as profitability hits historic lows, per Crypto-Economy. Mining difficulty is predicted to fall, but not fast enough to save the weakest players. The entire ecosystem is being reset, and not everyone will survive.

The context here is critical. Crypto-backed lending has been one of the fastest-growing segments of the digital asset market. The pitch was simple: HODL your coins, borrow against them, and never sell. But leverage is a double-edged sword. When prices go up, everyone’s a genius. When they go down, the margin calls come fast and furious. This week’s events are a stark reminder that the crypto market is still fundamentally driven by liquidity, not fundamentals. When the tide goes out, you find out who’s swimming naked.

The macro backdrop hasn’t helped. Risk assets everywhere are under pressure as the Fed stays hawkish and inflation proves sticky. The yield curve is flat, and global growth is slowing. Crypto, which once prided itself on being uncorrelated, is now trading like a high-beta tech stock, except with more leverage and less adult supervision. The result is a market that’s prone to violent swings, with forced liquidations amplifying every move.

Let’s talk about the miners. Profitability has collapsed to historic lows, and the weakest players are being forced out. This is classic market Darwinism. The survivors will be the ones with the lowest costs and the deepest pockets. But in the short term, the pain is real. Mining difficulty will eventually adjust, but not before a wave of capitulation washes through the sector. This is the kind of shakeout that sets the stage for the next bull run, but only after the excess leverage is wrung out of the system.

Strykr Watch

Technically, Bitcoin is in a precarious spot. The bounce from just above $60,000 is encouraging, but resistance looms at $65,000 and $68,000. Support is thin below $60,000, and a break could trigger another round of liquidations. Ethereum is in a similar boat, with key support at $3,000 and resistance at $3,500. RSI readings are deeply oversold, but that’s cold comfort when forced selling is in play. Watch the Coinbase lending book, if liquidations slow and prices stabilize, there’s a case for a short-term bounce. But if Bitcoin fails to hold $60,000, all bets are off.

Miners are the other key variable. If profitability continues to fall, expect more shutdowns and forced selling of reserves. This could create a feedback loop, driving prices lower in the short term. But if difficulty adjusts and the weak hands are flushed out, the survivors could see a sharp rebound.

The risks are obvious. Another leg down in Bitcoin could trigger a fresh wave of liquidations, especially if support at $60,000 fails. Miner capitulation could accelerate, putting further pressure on prices. The broader risk-off environment is not helping, if equities roll over, crypto will likely follow. And let’s not forget regulatory risk. Any hint of a crackdown on lending platforms could be the final straw.

But there are opportunities here, too. If you’re nimble, you can play the bounce off deeply oversold levels. Long Bitcoin with a tight stop below $60,000 is a classic mean-reversion trade. If liquidations slow and prices stabilize, there’s a case for a sharp rebound to $65,000 or even $68,000. For the brave, shorting the weakest altcoins could be a way to hedge against further downside. And if you have the stomach for it, picking up distressed assets from forced sellers could pay off big when the dust settles.

Strykr Take

This is not the end of crypto, but it is the end of easy leverage. The forced liquidations and miner capitulation are painful, but they’re also necessary. The market is being reset, and the survivors will be stronger for it. If you can manage risk and stay nimble, this is a market that will reward discipline and patience.

Sources (5)

Coinbase's Crypto-Backed Loans Notch Record Liquidations Amid Bitcoin, Ethereum Plunge

Coinbase customers faced losses in fresh ways through the exchange's crypto-backed lending product as Bitcoin and Ethereum tumbled this week.

decrypt.co·Feb 6

Bitcoin Miners Shut Down Operations As Profitability Collapses to Historic Lows

TL;DR Bitcoin mining profitability hits record lows due to declining crypto prices and soaring electricity costs. Mining difficulty is predicted to fa

crypto-economy.com·Feb 6

MSTR Stock Jumps 25% as Bitcoin Recovers from Recent Lows

MSTR stock surges 25% after Bitcoin rebounds, recovering from recent lows. Strategy remains committed to its long-term Bitcoin strategy.

blockonomi.com·Feb 6

The Daily: Strategy's ok unless BTC falls to $8K, Charles Hoskinson's down over $3B in crypto, Bithumb mistakenly sends bitcoin to users, and more

The following article is adapted from The Block's newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.

theblock.co·Feb 6

These Metrics Are Flashing Warning Signs As XRP Approaches A Potential Bear Market Shift

XRP experienced one of its most significant rallies ever in this cycle, reaching a new all-time high. However, with the broader cryptocurrency market

bitcoinist.com·Feb 6
#crypto-backed-loans#bitcoin-liquidations#mining-profitability#forced-selling#coinbase#ethereum#risk-management
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