
Strykr Analysis
BearishStrykr Pulse 38/100. Ethereum is facing a severe liquidity crunch, with forced selling and thin order books. Threat Level 4/5.
Ethereum has always been the grown-up in the altcoin room, the one with DeFi cred and institutional respectability. But after a brutal slide from $3,000 to $2,300, even the diamond hands are starting to sweat. BitMine Immersion Technologies, a publicly traded miner, is now sitting on more than $6 billion in paper losses, according to Benzinga. Tom Lee, ever the optimist, is doubling down, but the market is sending a clear message: liquidity is drying up, and the pain isn’t over yet.
The facts are ugly. Ethereum’s drawdown has been relentless, with the latest leg lower triggered by a combination of macro jitters, risk-off sentiment, and a dash of forced liquidations. BitMine’s massive underwater position is emblematic of the broader malaise. The company has continued to accumulate ETH, but the market isn’t rewarding conviction. Instead, every rally is being sold, and the order book is looking thinner by the day.
The carnage isn’t limited to Ethereum. The altcoin complex is in full retreat, with Solana breaking below $100 and DeFi stalwarts like Cardano only just managing to bounce after hitting multi-month lows. The narrative has shifted from “institutional adoption” to “who’s left to sell?” Meanwhile, Bitcoin is holding above $74,500, but the real story is in the second-tier coins, where liquidity is vanishing and bid-ask spreads are widening.
Zooming out, Ethereum’s current woes are part of a larger pattern. The post-ETF euphoria that drove prices higher in late 2025 has faded, replaced by a grinding bear market that punishes leverage and rewards patience. The macro backdrop isn’t helping. With the Fed in limbo and global growth forecasts being revised lower, risk assets across the board are struggling. For Ethereum, the problem is compounded by a lack of new capital. The DeFi sector, once the engine of on-chain activity, is now a source of outflows as protocols unwind and users flee to safety.
BitMine’s predicament is a cautionary tale. The company’s strategy of buying the dip has turned into a slow-motion margin call. Tom Lee’s bullishness is admirable, but the market is not in the mood for heroics. The bigger issue is liquidity. As more miners and whales become forced sellers, the risk of a cascade grows. The order book is thin, and every large sell order pushes the price lower. This is not a healthy market, it’s a slow bleed.
The historical parallels are instructive. Ethereum has weathered drawdowns before, but the current environment is different. The lack of retail FOMO, combined with institutional reluctance, means there are fewer natural buyers. The DeFi sector, once a source of sticky demand, is now a source of forced selling. The result is a feedback loop where lower prices beget more selling, and liquidity dries up further.
Strykr Watch
Technically, Ethereum is hanging by a thread. The $2,300 level is critical support. A break below opens the door to $2,000, with little in the way of meaningful support until $1,850. Resistance is stacked at $2,500 and $2,650. The 200-day moving average, previously a source of comfort, is now overhead resistance. RSI is in the low 30s, suggesting oversold conditions, but in a liquidity crunch, oversold can stay oversold for a long time.
Order book data shows a worrying lack of depth. Large bids are being pulled, and market makers are widening spreads to avoid getting run over by the next wave of selling. On-chain data confirms the exodus: DeFi TVL is down sharply, and active addresses are at multi-month lows. For traders, the message is clear, this is not the time to be a hero.
The risk is that BitMine and other large holders become forced sellers, triggering a cascade that drags Ethereum below $2,000. If macro conditions worsen or another DeFi protocol blows up, the downside could accelerate. The bear case is a retest of the $1,850 level, with a potential overshoot if panic sets in.
The bull case hinges on stabilization. If Ethereum can hold $2,300 and attract dip buyers, a short-covering rally could push prices back toward $2,500. But with liquidity this thin, any bounce is likely to be violent and short-lived. For traders, the setup is high risk, high reward.
Strykr Take
Ethereum’s current drawdown is a textbook liquidity crunch. The market is punishing leverage and rewarding patience. For now, the path of least resistance is lower, but volatility cuts both ways. If you’re looking to buy the dip, wait for confirmation, catching falling knives is not a winning strategy. Strykr Pulse 38/100. Threat Level 4/5.
Sources (5)
Tom Lee's BitMine Down $6B On Ethereum, But Here's Why He Keeps Buying
BitMine Immersion Technologies (NYSE:BMNR) is sitting on over $6 billion in paper losses after Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) crashed from $3,000 to $2,300, y
Hyperliquid (HYPE) Defies the Sell-Off With a 45% Weekly Gain: More Upside Ahead?
"If you are looking for any kind of long exposure, I think you should have HYPE in your basket before anything else," one analyst advised.
Solana DeFi Shaken: Step Finance Suffers $30M Treasury Breach
On February 1, 2026, the Solana ecosystem was rocked by a sophisticated attack on Step Finance, one of its most prominent DeFi dashboards and data pro
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis for February 2
The majority of the top 10 coins are rising today, according to CoinStats.
Is Solana's drop below $100 start of something bigger? THIS data says
A $100 breakdown met rising activity, setting up a familiar Solana tension.
