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Cryptopi-network Bearish

Pi Network’s Descent: Why Altcoin Capitulation Is Unmasking Crypto’s Weakest Links

Strykr AI
··8 min read
Pi Network’s Descent: Why Altcoin Capitulation Is Unmasking Crypto’s Weakest Links
28
Score
92
Extreme
High
Risk

Strykr Analysis

Bearish

Strykr Pulse 28/100. PI is in full capitulation mode, with no buyers in sight. Threat Level 4/5.

It’s not every week you see a digital asset break new all-time lows so often, the chart starts to look like a ski slope. Yet here we are, watching Pi Network’s PI coin plunge through support levels with all the grace of a dropped anvil. In a market that’s supposed to be licking its wounds after Bitcoin’s latest shakeout, the real carnage is playing out in the altcoin trenches. Traders who thought they were buying discounted innovation are now discovering the difference between a bargain and a value trap.

The headlines practically write themselves: “How Low Can Pi Go?” (cryptopotato.com, 2026-02-07) and “Pi coin price prediction, What next after altcoin rejects $0.190 retest?” (ambcrypto.com, 2026-02-07). The answer, apparently, is “lower.” After several consecutive all-time lows, PI’s price is now testing the $0.130 absorption zone, with volume spiking as sellers scramble for the exits. Sell pressure has intensified, and the market is treating every bounce as a chance to offload risk.

This is not just a PI story. The altcoin complex is facing a reckoning. Bitcoin’s sharp break lower last week was the catalyst, but the underlying rot was already there. The AI repricing cycle, the ETF outflows from Ethereum, the memecoin whale dumps, these were all warning shots. Now, with capital fleeing to safety and liquidity evaporating in the long tail of crypto, the weakest projects are being exposed. PI’s collapse is just the most visible symptom of a market that’s finally remembering what risk actually means.

If you’re wondering why PI is melting down while Bitcoin and XRP at least try to find a floor, look no further than the fundamentals. Or rather, the lack thereof. PI’s tokenomics have always been a Rorschach test for speculative mania: massive supply, thin liquidity, and a community that’s long on hope and short on actual use cases. When the music stops, these are the first assets to get dumped. The volume spikes are not a sign of accumulation, they’re a sign of forced selling and margin calls.

Historical context is brutal here. Altcoin cycles are notorious for their ability to vaporize capital. In 2018, we saw similar patterns: Bitcoin would stabilize, but the altcoin complex would keep bleeding for months. The difference now is that the market is far more sophisticated, and the capital at risk is larger. The ETF era has created a bifurcated market. On one side, you have Bitcoin, Ethereum, and a handful of institutional-grade assets. On the other, you have the speculative wild west, where coins like PI are left to fend for themselves.

The technicals are not offering much comfort. PI has rejected every attempt to reclaim $0.190, and the $0.130 zone is looking less like a support and more like a speed bump. RSI is deep in oversold territory, but that’s cold comfort when the order book is this thin. Every bounce is getting sold into, and the path of least resistance is still down. The only thing keeping PI from zero is the lack of a negative sign on the exchange interface.

What’s driving this? It’s not just “crypto winter” or “risk-off.” It’s a structural shift in market psychology. The AI bubble narrative has burst, at least for now, and the easy money is gone. Retail is exhausted, and institutions are not touching the long tail of altcoins with a ten-foot pole. The only buyers left are true believers and bottom fishers, and they’re getting steamrolled by the weight of supply.

Strykr Watch

For traders still watching PI, the levels are clear. The $0.130 absorption zone is the last line of defense. If that cracks, there’s nothing but air down to the next psychological round number, call it $0.10, but in reality, there’s no real support until the market decides to stop selling. On the upside, any attempt to reclaim $0.190 would be significant, but the odds are slim unless there’s a dramatic shift in sentiment or a coordinated short squeeze. RSI is below 25, which is extreme, but in a capitulation scenario, oversold can stay oversold for longer than you can stay solvent. Watch for volume spikes and failed rallies as signs that the selling is not done.

The broader altcoin market is showing similar patterns. Liquidity is drying up, and the bid-ask spreads are widening. If you’re trading anything outside the top ten by market cap, be prepared for wild swings and potential flash crashes. The ETF outflows from Ethereum are adding to the pressure, as capital rotates out of risk and into whatever passes for safety in crypto.

The risks here are obvious, but they’re worth spelling out. If PI loses $0.130, the next move could be a waterfall. Forced liquidations, margin calls, and panic selling could drive the price down another 20-30% in a matter of hours. If Bitcoin takes another leg lower, the contagion will spread. Regulatory headlines or exchange delistings could be the final nail in the coffin. On the flip side, a surprise short squeeze or a coordinated buyback could spark a violent, short-lived rally, but don’t bet the farm on it.

For those looking for opportunity in the wreckage, the playbook is simple: wait for capitulation, then look for signs of stabilization. If PI can hold $0.130 and build a base, there may be a tradeable bounce back to $0.160 or even $0.190. But this is not an investment, this is a trade, pure and simple. Tight stops, small size, and a willingness to walk away if the setup fails. For the true contrarians, the best opportunities may be in the survivors, the altcoins that can weather this storm and come out stronger on the other side.

Strykr Take

This is what real capitulation looks like. The altcoin market is being put through the wringer, and PI is the poster child for what happens when speculative excess meets a liquidity vacuum. The smart money is staying on the sidelines or picking through the rubble for quality. If you’re trading PI, treat it like a live grenade, handle with care, and don’t get greedy. The pain isn’t over, but for those with discipline and a strong stomach, the next few weeks could offer some of the best risk-reward setups in months. Just remember: when everyone is running for the exits, sometimes the best trade is to wait until the stampede slows down.

Sources (5)

How Low Can Pi Network's PI Go? Shocking Bear-Market AI Scenarios After the Latest ATLs

After several consecutive all-time lows, where is PI's bottom and how deep can it plunge?

cryptopotato.com·Feb 7

Bitcoin Must Fall 90% For Years To Pressure Strategy's Debt, CEO Says

Strategy's leadership is pushing back against growing concerns that the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin (BTC) could face serious financial

newsbtc.com·Feb 7

Pi coin price prediction – What next after altcoin rejects $0.190 retest?

Sell pressure intensified on Pi as volume spikes and price tested the $0.130 absorption zone.

ambcrypto.com·Feb 7

XRP News Today: Bulls Defend $1.0 as ETF Inflows Turn Positive

XRP snapped a three-day losing streak as dip buyers defended $1.0, while ETF inflows and hopes for crypto-friendly US regulation supported upside targ

fxempire.com·Feb 7

Metaplanet Pushes Ahead With Bitcoin Buying Amid Market Gloom

Metaplanet is pressing ahead with its plan to buy more Bitcoin even as the broader crypto market turns sour.

bitcoinist.com·Feb 7
#pi-network#altcoins#capitulation#crypto-crash#oversold#price-action#bearish
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