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Cryptosolana Bearish

Solana’s $100 Breakdown: Altcoin Bulls Face a Brutal Test as Crypto Liquidity Evaporates

Strykr AI
··8 min read
Solana’s $100 Breakdown: Altcoin Bulls Face a Brutal Test as Crypto Liquidity Evaporates
38
Score
82
High
High
Risk

Strykr Analysis

Bearish

Strykr Pulse 38/100. Solana’s technical breakdown and vanishing liquidity signal more downside risk. Threat Level 4/5.

Solana bulls are learning the hard way that psychological anchors don’t always hold. The much-hyped $100 level, which acted as a security blanket for most of the past year, finally gave way. The result? A market suddenly stripped of its narrative, with liquidity vanishing faster than you can say ‘DeFi summer.’ For traders who thought Solana was immune to the broader crypto malaise, this week’s price action is a wake-up call. The real story isn’t just the level break, it’s what happens when the market’s favorite altcoin loses its training wheels, and the crowd realizes there’s no net below.

The news cycle is obsessed with Bitcoin’s slide to $74,000 and the ETF outflows, but the real carnage is happening in the altcoin trenches. Solana’s breakdown below $100 was swift and merciless, with price action reminiscent of a rug pull. The headlines are full of analysts debating whether the next support can stop the slide, but the order books tell the real story: depth has dried up, and every bounce is being sold into. The ‘next Ethereum’ narrative is looking shaky, and the crowd that piled in above $100 is now staring at underwater positions and margin calls.

Let’s get granular. Solana spent months coiling just above the $100 mark, with bulls repeatedly defending the level. The breakdown came on a surge in volume, as stop-loss orders cascaded and liquidity providers stepped back. The price action was exacerbated by a broader risk-off move across crypto, with Bitcoin’s ETF flows turning negative for the sixth straight day. The result is a market that feels abandoned, with Solana’s bid-ask spread widening and slippage spiking. The technical damage is real, and the psychological impact is even worse.

Context is everything. Solana isn’t just another altcoin, it’s the poster child for the ‘Ethereum killer’ trade, with a rabid community and a thriving DeFi ecosystem. But the cracks are showing. The breakdown below $100 is more than just a round number violation, it’s a signal that the market’s risk appetite is crumbling. The last time Solana lost a key psychological level, it triggered a multi-week cascade that wiped out months of gains. The current setup looks eerily similar, with liquidity evaporating and no obvious support until the $85-$90 zone.

Cross-asset flows matter here. As Bitcoin struggles to hold $74,000, altcoins are getting hit even harder. The narrative that Solana could decouple from Bitcoin is dead on arrival. ETF outflows are draining liquidity from the entire market, and Solana is feeling the brunt. The DeFi protocols built on Solana are seeing TVL declines, and the NFT hype cycle has long since faded. The market is in risk-off mode, and Solana is caught in the downdraft.

The analyst crowd is scrambling to make sense of the move. Some argue that the breakdown is a buying opportunity, pointing to Solana’s strong developer activity and upcoming protocol upgrades. Others see it as the start of a deeper correction, with the next support levels far below. The truth is that the market doesn’t care about fundamentals right now, it cares about liquidity, and there isn’t any. The bid is gone, and until it returns, every bounce is suspect.

Strykr Watch

The technicals are ugly. Solana has broken below $100, with the next support in the $85-$90 range. The 200-day moving average is rolling over at $105, and the RSI is in freefall, now below 35. There’s no sign of bullish divergence, and the volume spike on the breakdown suggests that the selling isn’t done. Order book depth is thin, and slippage is a real risk for size traders.

On-chain metrics are flashing warning signs. Active addresses are down, DeFi TVL is shrinking, and NFT volumes are a shadow of their former selves. The options market is pricing in elevated volatility, with implieds spiking and skew favoring puts. The path of least resistance is lower, and the only thing that can stop the slide is a sudden return of risk appetite across the crypto complex.

The risk is that the breakdown triggers a cascade of liquidations, with margin traders forced to sell into a thin market. If Bitcoin loses $74,000, the pressure on Solana will only intensify. The other risk is that the broader risk-off sentiment persists, with ETF outflows draining liquidity from the entire crypto ecosystem. In that scenario, Solana could test the $85-$90 support zone quickly, with little chance for a meaningful bounce.

The opportunity, if you’re brave enough, is to buy the capitulation. If Solana flushes into the $85-$90 zone and holds, it could be a low-risk entry for traders looking to play a rebound. Alternatively, aggressive traders can short failed bounces back to $100, with tight stops. The key is to stay nimble and respect the technical damage, this is not the time for hero trades or diamond hands.

Strykr Take

Solana’s breakdown below $100 is a reality check for altcoin bulls. The market is in risk-off mode, and liquidity is vanishing. The next move will be violent, and it will punish complacency. Stay tactical, watch the levels, and don’t try to catch a falling knife. The opportunity will come, but only after the selling exhausts itself.

Sources (5)

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Solana Price Forecast Turns Bearish After $100 Breakdown, Can Next Support Stop the Slide?

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newsbtc.com·Feb 2

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Crypto price prediction today, as Bitcoin has fallen to $74,000 amid geopolitical uncertainty and six consecutive days of BTC ETF outflows. Analysts h

cryptonews.com·Feb 2

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