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Cryptosolana Bearish

Solana’s $100 Breakdown: Altcoin Bulls Rattled as Crypto Rotation Accelerates

Strykr AI
··8 min read
Solana’s $100 Breakdown: Altcoin Bulls Rattled as Crypto Rotation Accelerates
28
Score
85
Extreme
High
Risk

Strykr Analysis

Bearish

Strykr Pulse 28/100. Solana’s technical breakdown and surging exchange inflows signal a high-risk, bearish environment. Threat Level 4/5.

If you wanted a clean narrative for crypto in early 2026, you’re out of luck. Solana just slipped below the psychological $100 mark, and the altcoin complex is suddenly looking like a game of musical chairs with the music stuck on a minor chord. The price action is ugly, but the real story is how quickly sentiment has soured from “AI-driven supercycle” to “who’s next on the chopping block?”

The last 24 hours have been a masterclass in how fast risk can evaporate. While Bitcoin’s headline-grabbing drop below $73,000 got the Michael Burry doom loop crowd frothing, Solana quietly plunged through support, leaving a trail of liquidations and bruised egos. According to CryptoPotato, Solana’s fall below $100 marks its lowest level in months, underperforming even as Bitcoin staged a modest recovery from its own 15-month low. The rotation out of high-beta altcoins is unmistakable, with former darlings like HASH and HYPE also taking double-digit hits.

This isn’t just a Solana story, though. The entire altcoin sector is feeling the pinch as crypto whales dump risk and rotate into whatever passes for safety in this market. Binance saw exchange inflows surge past 56,000 BTC as traders scrambled to de-risk, according to Blockonomi. The altcoin complex, which had been riding the coattails of AI hype and DeFi 2.0 narratives, is now staring down the barrel of a classic liquidity crunch. The selloff has been indiscriminate, but Solana’s technical breakdown is the canary in the coal mine for an asset class that’s long on ambition and short on real-world cash flows.

Context is everything. Solana’s meteoric rise in 2025 was built on a foundation of hope, hype, and a relentless bid from retail and institutional traders alike. But as the macro backdrop turned hostile, thanks to a hawkish Fed, stubborn inflation, and a global risk-off rotation, those same traders have been quick to pull the ripcord. The irony is that Solana’s fundamentals haven’t changed dramatically in the past week. Network activity remains robust, DeFi TVL is off its highs but still respectable, and the developer ecosystem is humming. What’s changed is the narrative. In a market obsessed with AI and automation, Solana’s pitch as the “fastest chain” suddenly looks quaint compared to the existential threat posed by Anthropic’s new AI tool and the resulting panic in tech and crypto alike.

The cross-asset correlations are impossible to ignore. As tech stocks cratered on the back of Anthropic’s AI-driven automation scare, crypto traders took the hint and started dumping anything that wasn’t nailed down. The rotation out of software, fintech, and now altcoins is a classic example of how risk-off flows can cascade across asset classes. The S&P 500’s tech-heavy sectors are in freefall, and crypto is following the script with its own high-beta proxies. Solana, once the poster child for “next-gen” blockchain, is now just another casualty of a market that’s suddenly remembered what risk looks like.

The technicals are a horror show. Solana’s break below $100 triggered a wave of stop-loss selling, with the next major support lurking in the mid-80s. RSI is deep in oversold territory, but that’s cold comfort when liquidity is evaporating and every bounce is met with fresh selling. The 200-day moving average, once a reliable buy-the-dip signal, has been sliced through like warm butter. Volume is spiking, but it’s all on the sell side. Bulls are nowhere to be found, and the path of least resistance is lower until proven otherwise.

Strykr Watch

For traders still brave enough to wade into these waters, the Strykr Watch are brutally clear. Immediate resistance sits at $105, which was former support and now a graveyard of failed longs. The next real support isn’t until the $85-$88 zone, where Solana last consolidated before its late-2025 breakout. RSI is printing sub-30 readings, but don’t mistake oversold for safe, this is a momentum-driven market, and oversold can stay oversold for longer than most can stay solvent. Watch for a capitulation wick below $90 as a potential reversal trigger, but size accordingly. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are both rolling over, confirming that the trend is your enemy for now.

The risk here is that Solana’s breakdown becomes self-fulfilling. If whales keep dumping and retail panics, the next stop is a retest of the $80 handle. On-chain data shows a spike in large transfers to exchanges, which is rarely a bullish tell. The altcoin complex is moving in lockstep, so any weakness in Solana is likely to spill over into other high-beta names. The risk of a broader DeFi unwind is non-trivial, especially if Bitcoin fails to reclaim the $75,000 level and triggers a fresh round of deleveraging.

Opportunities do exist for the nimble. If Solana can stage a convincing bounce off the $88-$90 zone, there’s room for a sharp short-covering rally back to $105, but don’t overstay your welcome. The safer play might be to wait for a confirmed reclaim of $100 with volume, signaling that the worst of the panic is over. For the truly risk-averse, sitting on the sidelines and waiting for the dust to settle is a perfectly valid strategy. There’s no prize for catching falling knives, only scars.

Strykr Take

Solana’s breakdown below $100 is a wake-up call for anyone still clinging to the “altseason” narrative. The market is in risk-off mode, and the path of least resistance is lower until proven otherwise. Don’t try to be a hero. Wait for confirmation, manage your risk, and remember that sometimes the best trade is no trade at all. Strykr Pulse 28/100. Threat Level 4/5.

Sources (5)

Michael Burry Warns Bitcoin Crash Could Hit Miners and BTC-Holding Firms

Michael Burry, the investor famous for predicting the 2008 financial crisis, has issued a strong warning about Bitcoin. He has warned that the ongoing

coinpedia.org·Feb 4

Bitcoin Dips Below $73K Amid 50,000 BTC Whale Sell-Off, Can the End of the US Shutdown Boost the Market?

Bitcoin's price briefly fell below $73,000 for the first time since April 2025, pressured by heavy whale selling.

coinspeaker.com·Feb 4

Tether Scales Back on Planned $15B Fundraising: Report

Tether has quietly pulled back from plans for a massive fundraising round amid investor resistance to a $500 billion valuation.

coinspeaker.com·Feb 4

Aave Goes All-In on DeFi, Shuts Down Avara Brand and Family Wallet

Aave's strategic consolidation under a single brand reflects a broader industry shift toward specialized financial products over general-purpose crypt

cryptonews.com·Feb 4

Bitcoin Selling Pressure Intensifies as Binance Records Massive Inflows Amid Price Correction

Exchange deposits surge past 56,000 BTC as cryptocurrency tests critical support near $74,000 threshold

blockonomi.com·Feb 4
#solana#altcoins#crypto-rotation#support-resistance#liquidations#defi#whale-activity
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