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Cryptosolana Neutral

Solana’s Comeback Quest: Can the Once-Hot Blockchain Reclaim Its All-Time High After the Crash?

Strykr AI
··8 min read
Solana’s Comeback Quest: Can the Once-Hot Blockchain Reclaim Its All-Time High After the Crash?
52
Score
87
Extreme
High
Risk

Strykr Analysis

Neutral

Strykr Pulse 52/100. Solana is battered but not broken. Whale accumulation is a green shoot, but technicals remain fragile. Threat Level 4/5.

If you blinked, you missed it. Solana, the blockchain that once inspired more FOMO than a Taylor Swift concert ticket drop, just crashed to a two-year low. The price action has been so brutal that even the most diamond-handed degens are checking their LinkedIn profiles for TradFi jobs. But here’s the twist: the market is suddenly asking if Solana’s story is actually over, or if this is just the ugly middle chapter before a new run at all-time highs.

Let’s not sugarcoat it. Solana’s price, which was trading near $260 in late 2025, cratered to the $70s in early February, wiping out more than 70% from its peak. The selloff was not some gentle correction. It was a liquidation bonanza, a full-on margin call massacre that left the Solana faithful clutching their hardware wallets and praying for a bounce. According to newsbtc.com, technical analyst Umair Crypto highlighted that the $90 level was the first real line of defense, and when that gave way, the next stop was a vacuum down to multi-year lows.

What triggered this carnage? Start with the obvious: the entire altcoin complex has been in pain. Bitcoin’s own rollercoaster, from nearly $80,000 down to the $60,000s, sucked the air out of the room. But Solana’s pain was special. The network, once the darling of DeFi and NFT punters, saw its TVL (total value locked) collapse by over 50% in three months, per DeFiLlama data. The Solana ecosystem, which once boasted the fastest-growing NFT marketplaces and meme coin launches, suddenly looked like a ghost town. Whales dumped, retail panicked, and the only thing moving on-chain was the exodus of liquidity.

But here’s where the story gets interesting. As the dust settles, some of the smart money is starting to circle back. On-chain data shows a modest uptick in whale accumulation at these depressed levels. The narrative is shifting from "Solana is dead" to "Solana is cheap." And if you squint past the carnage, there are signs the network is stabilizing. Transaction throughput remains robust, and the developer community, battered but not broken, is still shipping updates. The question is whether this is just a dead cat bounce, or the start of something more meaningful.

Zooming out, Solana’s crash is a microcosm of the broader altcoin winter. The last time the network faced this kind of existential threat was during the 2022 FTX collapse, when its close association with Sam Bankman-Fried nearly torpedoed the project. Back then, Solana clawed its way back from the brink, riding a wave of meme coin mania and NFT hype to new highs. But this time, the macro backdrop is less forgiving. Bitcoin dominance is rising, risk appetite is fading, and the easy money days are over. The market is demanding real utility, not just speed and low fees.

Yet, Solana’s resilience is not just a meme. The blockchain’s technical advantages, high throughput, low latency, and a vibrant developer ecosystem, haven’t evaporated. The question is whether these features are enough to reignite growth in a market that’s suddenly allergic to risk. The recent price action has flushed out the tourists, leaving only the true believers and the opportunistic whales. If history is any guide, these are the conditions that set the stage for outsized returns, if, and it’s a big if, the fundamentals hold up.

Strykr Watch

Technically, Solana is at a crossroads. The $70-$75 zone is the last major support before a freefall to the $50s, a level not seen since the dark days of 2023. On the upside, $90 is now the first real resistance, with a cluster of supply sitting just above. The 200-day moving average, which had been a reliable bull-bear divider, is now miles above at $120. RSI on the daily chart is scraping the bottom, signaling deeply oversold conditions, but oversold can stay oversold when the mood is this toxic. Watch for a decisive reclaim of $90 to signal that the worst may be over. Until then, every bounce is suspect.

The liquidation heatmap from ambcrypto.com highlights the $90-$100 area as a magnetic zone, expect fireworks if Solana can claw its way back above. On-chain flows show whale wallets nibbling, but retail is still in full retreat. If the network can avoid another high-profile outage or exploit, the setup for a short squeeze is real. But if $70 breaks, all bets are off.

The risk is not just technical. If Bitcoin rolls over again, Solana will not be spared. The altcoin complex is still in the Fed’s crosshairs, with macro volatility and regulatory uncertainty acting as persistent headwinds. But if Solana can hold the line, the asymmetric upside is hard to ignore.

The bear case is simple: Solana is just another high-beta altcoin, and the days of easy 10x returns are over. If the network loses its developer mojo, or if another exploit hits, the price could spiral lower. The bull case? Solana is the only major blockchain still posting serious throughput numbers, and if risk appetite returns, it’s the first stop for capital looking for leverage.

If you’re hunting for opportunity, this is where you look. Long Solana with a tight stop below $70 is the obvious play, targeting a squeeze back to $100. If you’re more patient, wait for a reclaim of $90 with volume confirmation. The real moonshot is a full retrace to $150, but that’s a story for another quarter. For now, the risk-reward is finally starting to look interesting.

Strykr Take

Solana’s crash is ugly, but not terminal. The network is battered, not broken. If you believe in mean reversion and the staying power of real developer ecosystems, this is where you start building a position, not chasing the top, but buying when everyone else is scared. The risk is high, but so is the potential reward. In a market desperate for narrative, Solana just became the comeback kid to watch.

datePublished: 2026-02-08 01:45 UTC

Sources (5)

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#solana#altcoins#crypto-crash#price-action#support-resistance#whale-accumulation#oversold
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