
Strykr Analysis
NeutralStrykr Pulse 58/100. Market resilience is impressive, but risks from macro data and Fed policy loom. Threat Level 3/5.
If you blinked, you missed the S&P 500’s latest magic trick: climbing to fresh highs while Silicon Valley’s finest collectively torched over $1 trillion in market cap. On a week when headlines screamed about tech carnage and the Nasdaq’s obituary writers were sharpening their pencils, the broader market simply yawned and pressed on. The Dow even managed to break the 50,000 barrier for the first time ever, a milestone that would have seemed like fantasy during the post-pandemic malaise.
So what gives? How does the S&P 500 keep levitating when the sector that powered its last bull run is getting pummeled? The answer, as always, is more complicated than the headlines suggest. Under the surface, sector rotation has gone from a whisper to a full-throated roar. Energy, financials, and even the long-maligned utilities are quietly picking up the slack as the tech darlings stumble. The market’s breadth, once as thin as a Silicon Valley founder’s patience for regulation, is finally starting to thicken.
Let’s get granular. According to CNBC, Big Tech shed more than $1 trillion in value last week, with household names like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia all deep in the red. Yet, the S&P 500’s overall price action remained stubbornly buoyant. The index’s resilience was mirrored by the Dow, which notched its historic 50,000 close, and by the Fear & Greed Index, which ticked up into neutral territory after weeks of anxiety.
The market’s ability to absorb such a tech bloodbath without a broader meltdown is a testament to the underlying strength of other sectors. Financials, in particular, have benefited from the prospect of higher-for-longer rates, while energy names are catching a bid as oil stabilizes. Even the much-maligned utilities are enjoying a rare moment in the sun, as investors hunt for yield and defensiveness amid macro uncertainty.
Some will argue that this is just a dead-cat bounce, a last gasp before the inevitable reckoning. But the data tells a different story. Breadth indicators, which measure how many stocks are participating in the rally, have improved markedly. The advance-decline line is trending up, and the equal-weighted S&P 500 is finally starting to catch up to its cap-weighted cousin. This isn’t just a handful of megacaps dragging the index higher anymore.
Of course, none of this means the market is out of the woods. The delayed jobs and inflation data loom like a sword of Damocles over the coming week. If the numbers come in hot, the Fed’s hawkish rhetoric could quickly turn from jawboning to action. But for now, the market seems content to rotate rather than retreat.
The context here is crucial. For most of the past decade, the S&P 500’s fortunes have been tied to the whims of Big Tech. The so-called “Magnificent Seven” stocks accounted for an outsized share of index returns, leaving the rest of the market in the dust. But with tech now under pressure from higher rates, regulatory scrutiny, and the bursting of the AI hype bubble, the baton is being passed to other sectors.
This shift has been a long time coming. Value stocks, cyclicals, and even the battered financials are finally getting their moment. The question is whether this rotation can be sustained, or if it’s just a temporary blip before tech regains its dominance.
Strykr Watch
From a technical perspective, the S&P 500 is flirting with key resistance at the 5,100 level. The index’s 50-day moving average is rising, and momentum indicators like RSI are hovering in neutral territory, suggesting there’s room for further upside if the macro data cooperates. The Dow’s breakout above 50,000 is more than just a psychological milestone, it’s a signal that risk appetite is returning, at least outside of tech.
Breadth metrics are worth watching closely. The advance-decline line is ticking higher, and the equal-weighted S&P 500 is outperforming for the first time in months. If this continues, it would mark a meaningful shift in market leadership.
On the downside, watch for support at the 4,950 level. A break below that could trigger a sharper pullback, especially if the jobs or CPI data disappoint.
The risks are clear. A hotter-than-expected inflation print could send yields spiking and trigger another round of tech selling. The Fed remains a wild card, and any hint of hawkishness could upend the fragile rotation underway. There’s also the risk that the recent breadth improvement is a mirage, and that the market quickly reverts to its old habit of following tech’s lead.
But there are opportunities as well. For traders willing to look beyond the headlines, the rotation into value and cyclicals offers fertile ground. Financials and energy names are showing relative strength, and even utilities are worth a look for those seeking defensiveness. The equal-weighted S&P 500 is an intriguing play for those betting on a sustained broadening of the rally.
Strykr Take
The S&P 500’s ability to shrug off tech’s $1 trillion meltdown is a reminder that this market is more resilient, and more dynamic, than the doomsayers would have you believe. The rotation into value and cyclicals is real, and it’s creating opportunities for traders who are willing to adapt. Keep an eye on the upcoming macro data, but don’t bet against the market’s ability to reinvent itself.
Date published: 2026-02-09 09:30 UTC
Sources (5)
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