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Cryptotreasury Bearish

Bitcoin Treasury Wipeout: Corporate Crypto Bets Face $10 Billion Underwater as Bulls Scramble

Strykr AI
··8 min read
Bitcoin Treasury Wipeout: Corporate Crypto Bets Face $10 Billion Underwater as Bulls Scramble
28
Score
88
Extreme
High
Risk

Strykr Analysis

Bearish

Strykr Pulse 28/100. Forced liquidations and corporate panic are driving the market. No real bid until forced sellers are done. Threat Level 5/5.

You know the crypto market is in trouble when the headlines start reading like post-mortems. Bitcoin’s overnight whipsaw, plunging to $60,233 before clawing back to $65,443, has left a trail of wreckage among the so-called “Bitcoin treasury” crowd. The same corporate treasurers who once patted themselves on the back for being ‘visionaries’ are now staring at $10 billion in paper losses. One major firm is bracing for a $27 billion disaster if the slide continues. The crowd that once cheered every new all-time high is suddenly silent, hoping the Fed’s next move will bail them out.

Let’s get into the carnage. In the past week, Bitcoin has nosedived by over 21.3%, erasing 15 months of gains and vaporizing $2.2 trillion in crypto market cap since October. The post-election rally is gone, replaced by a structural liquidity crisis that’s dragging the entire digital asset complex into the abyss. The unofficial economic data is ugly: US job losses at a 17-year high, which in theory should be bullish for risk assets if the Fed pivots dovish. But so far, the only thing that’s pivoting is sentiment, from euphoria to panic.

The corporate treasuries that loaded up on $BTC during the bull run are now underwater. According to CryptoSlate, the largest pure-play Bitcoin treasury companies are facing a collective $10 billion in unrealized losses. One major player is bracing for a $27 billion disaster if Bitcoin collapses to the $38,000 target flagged by Stifel. This is not just a crypto story. It’s a corporate risk management disaster in real time. The same firms that bragged about “diversification” are now learning about correlation the hard way.

The whipsaw price action overnight was pure crypto theater. Asian trading flushed leveraged positions, sending $BTC to $60,233 before a sharp recovery above $65,000. Liquidations were brutal, with over $2 billion in longs wiped out in hours. The market is now a playground for high-frequency traders and liquidation hunters. Fundamentals? Please. This is pure order book chaos.

The macro backdrop is not helping. The Fed held rates steady at 3.50%, 3.75%, but policy uncertainty is the only certainty. If the labor market keeps deteriorating, maybe Powell blinks and cuts. But until then, crypto is stuck in a liquidity trap. The AI capex panic that’s roiling tech stocks is also draining risk appetite from the digital asset space. Correlations are rising, and there’s nowhere to hide. Even the altcoins are getting bludgeoned, with XRP losing $20 billion in a week and Ethereum teetering after its founder’s $8 million sell.

The narrative that “Bitcoin is the new gold” is getting stress-tested in real time. Instead of acting as a safe haven, $BTC is trading like a levered tech stock on a bad day. The structural bid from ETFs and corporate treasuries has turned into a millstone. When the marginal buyer becomes the forced seller, you get air pockets like we saw last night. The market is discovering, painfully, that there’s no such thing as a one-way trade.

Strykr Watch

Technically, Bitcoin’s bounce off $60,233 is impressive, but the damage is done. The key level to watch is $65,000, if bulls can’t hold this, the next stop is $58,000, then $52,000. Resistance is stacked at $68,000 and $70,000. RSI is deeply oversold, but that’s not a buy signal in a liquidation cascade. On-chain metrics show rising exchange inflows, a classic sign of capitulation. Treasury wallets are moving coins to exchanges, and the bid side is thin. The pain trade is lower.

Options markets are pricing in extreme volatility, with implieds north of 80% annualized. Skew is heavily to the downside, and put volumes are exploding. Funding rates have flipped negative, signaling that the perpetual longs are finally getting squeezed out. If you’re looking for a reversal, wait for a flush below $60,000 with a sharp bounce and spot buying. Until then, every rally is a dead cat.

The risk here is that the forced selling isn’t over. If Bitcoin breaks $60,000 again, you’ll see another wave of liquidations and treasury panic. A Fed hawkish surprise or another round of US job losses could accelerate the unwind. The bear case is a full round-trip to $38,000, as Stifel predicts, which would spell doom for the corporate treasury crowd and drag the entire crypto complex lower.

But there’s opportunity for the brave. If you have dry powder, scale in below $60,000 with tight stops. Look for oversold altcoins with real utility, if such a thing exists. The best trades are tactical, not thematic. Don’t marry your bags. If the Fed blinks and signals a cut, risk assets will rip, and Bitcoin could reclaim $70,000 in a heartbeat. But until then, respect the tape and keep your stops tight.

Strykr Take

The corporate Bitcoin treasury trade is dead money for now. Forced sellers are in control, and the pain isn’t over. If you’re a trader, play defense and look for asymmetric entries on flushes. If you’re a corporate treasurer, maybe stick to T-bills next time. The real story here is not just price, but the brutal lesson in risk management. In crypto, liquidity is a privilege, not a right. Trade accordingly.

datePublished: 2026-02-06 10:00 UTC

Sources (5)

U.S. job losses at 17-year high raise positive signals for bitcoin bulls

Unofficial economic indicators suggest the Fed may need to ease policy, boosting riskier assets.

coindesk.com·Feb 6

As Bitcoin sinks to $60k, BTC treasury companies go $10 billion underwater and one major firm is bracing for a $27 billion disaster

Bitcoin's (BTC) slide to as low as $60,233 overnight, before recovering somewhat to $65,443, has left most of the largest pure-play Bitcoin treasury c

cryptoslate.com·Feb 6

Bitcoin Could Collapse To $38,000, Stifel Predicts, Spelling Doom For ETH, Ripple's XRP, Cardano

Bitcoin (BTC) price nosedived by over 21.3% in the past week to under $65,000 on Thursday, erasing 15 months of gains completely.

zycrypto.com·Feb 6

Bitcoin Erases Post-Election Gains as Crypto Markets Lose $2.2 Trillion Since October

Structural liquidity crisis drives 50% crypto market decline with Bitcoin falling below Trump election levels

blockonomi.com·Feb 6

Bitcoin Surges Back Above $65K Following Asia Whipsaw As $HYPER Gains Momentum

What to Know: Bitcoin executed a ‘whipsaw' recovery, reclaiming $65K after volatility in the Asian trading session flushed leveraged positions. The ma

newsbtc.com·Feb 6
#bitcoin#treasury#liquidations#crypto-crash#risk-management#btc-price#fed-policy
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