
Strykr Analysis
BearishStrykr Pulse 38/100. Bitcoin is under pressure from both quantum FUD and mining profitability collapse. The risk of a sharp breakdown is rising. Threat Level 4/5.
Bitcoin miners are staring down the barrel of a double-barreled shotgun: quantum security panic and a profitability crunch that’s driving some of the industry’s biggest workhorses to the brink. In a market that’s already reeling from a 38% drawdown since October’s highs, the latest headlines have poured gasoline on a smoldering fire. Galaxy’s Mike Novogratz is waving off quantum computing threats as overblown, but that hasn’t stopped the narrative from infecting the tape. Meanwhile, the real pain is coming from the mining trenches, where older rigs are crossing shutdown thresholds and the hash rate is flirting with a cliff.
The facts are as ugly as they sound. Bitcoin is trading near $75,600 after a fresh 3.7% drop in the last 24 hours, with miners like the Antminer S19 XP+ Hydro and Whatsminer M60S reportedly hitting unprofitable territory. Profitability has slumped to multi-month lows, and the “shutdown price” is now a household phrase in mining circles. The Galaxy analyst’s warning that Bitcoin could fall below $60,000 is no longer a tail risk, it’s a scenario that’s being actively modeled by funds and prop desks. As if that weren’t enough, Michael Burry is out here warning that a Bitcoin plunge could force institutions to liquidate precious metals, triggering a $1 billion gold and silver sell-off. The feedback loops are getting tighter, and the market is starting to price in forced liquidations across asset classes.
Context matters, and this is where the story gets even more interesting. The quantum narrative is mostly smoke, but it’s creating real volatility as traders scramble to hedge tail risks. Novogratz’s dismissal of quantum as a non-threat is technically correct, for now. But the market is a forward-looking beast, and the mere whiff of quantum risk is enough to spook weak hands. The mining squeeze is the more immediate concern. As profitability craters, hash rate could start to drop, setting off a negative feedback loop that puts further pressure on price. The last time we saw a similar setup was in 2022, when miner capitulation marked a major local bottom. But this time, the macro backdrop is more precarious, with risk-off sentiment spilling over from equities and commodities.
The analysis is clear: Bitcoin is in a danger zone. The convergence of quantum FUD and mining stress is creating a perfect storm for volatility. The risk is not just to price, but to network security and investor confidence. If hash rate drops sharply, the narrative could shift from “quantum is a joke” to “is Bitcoin’s moat eroding?” Overnight, the market could go from dismissing quantum to pricing in existential risk. Meanwhile, the forced liquidation risk is real. If Bitcoin breaches $73,000, the dominoes could start to fall, with miners selling coins to stay afloat and institutions dumping gold and silver to cover losses. The opportunity, perversely, is in the chaos. If you can stomach the volatility, miner capitulation has historically been a buy signal, but only if you catch the knife at the right moment.
Strykr Watch
Technically, Bitcoin is skating on thin ice. The $75,000 level is a psychological floor, but the real support sits at $73,000, where a cluster of miner wallets and spot bids are parked. Below that, $68,500 is the next line in the sand, and a breach could trigger a cascade of liquidations. On the upside, $80,000 is the first resistance, with $85,000 as the breakout target if the market can shake off the FUD. Hash rate metrics are flashing warning signs, with a 7-day rolling average starting to bend lower. Funding rates have flipped negative, signaling that the pain trade is to the upside if shorts get squeezed. But the tape is heavy, and buyers are cautious. RSI is sitting at 38, deep in oversold territory, but no one wants to be the first to catch the falling knife.
The risks are obvious. A sharp drop in hash rate could trigger a crisis of confidence, while a break below $73,000 could set off forced selling across crypto and metals. Quantum panic, while mostly narrative, could still spook retail and institutional players, especially if a high-profile security breach hits the headlines. The opportunity is for traders who can read the order book and time their entries. Miner capitulation could mark a local bottom, but only if the macro doesn’t deteriorate further. Aggressive longs can try to buy the dip near $73,000 with tight stops, while bears can ride momentum lower if support cracks. The real edge is in being faster than the crowd when the next headline hits.
Strykr Take
This is the kind of market where legends are made, or blown up. Bitcoin is in the eye of a storm, with quantum FUD and mining pain driving volatility to extremes. If you have the stomach for it, there’s money to be made on both sides of the tape. But don’t kid yourself: the risks are real, and the next move could be violent. Strykr Pulse 38/100. Threat Level 4/5.
Date published: 2026-02-04 00:30 UTC
Sources (5)
Quantum Computing Isn't a Major Threat to Bitcoin, Says Galaxy CEO Mike Novogratz
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